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I want to talk about Rakibul Hussain who won by more than 10 lakh votes. What is it about this candidate that the people of Dhubri in Assam made him win by 10,12,476 votes?
Claims of victory by 10 lakh votes were being made for Prime Minister Modi. In Varanasi newspapers, you will find statements of Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath and several ministers that this time Modi has to be made to win by 10 lakh votes. But Prime Minister Modi won by just 1.5 lakh votes.
Rakibul Hussain’s Unique Campaign Strategies
We want to talk about Rakibul Hussain. If you haven’t seen him during the elections, then see him now. Congress candidate Rakibul Hussain has gone out to campaign in a boat in the Brahmaputra river. The boat passing by is full of people, Rakibul greets them from his boat.
The Challenge of Campaigning in Dhubri
Dhubri is a very big Lok Sabha constituency and one has to travel by boat to campaign from one panchayat to another. Did you see Rakibul Hussain campaigning during the election coverage on Godi channels? There are many leaders in our country, but for the last 10 years, only Modi is shown on the channels of Godi media. The result is that you either do not know or you come to know late that there is someone like Rakibul Hussain who has the ability to win by 10 lakh votes.
Comparison with Other Election Results
In Indore, BJP candidate Shankar Lalwani has got 1,172,000 votes but the Congress candidate has withdrawn his candidature from here. More than 2 lakh NOTA votes have been cast in Indore. If we look at the head-to-head election, Rakibul Hussain can be considered to be at the first position.
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Rakibul Hussain’s Victory in Dhubri
Election Results Breakdown
Congress’ Rakibul Hussain defeated Badruddin Ajmal by 10,12,476 votes from Dhubri in Assam. There are 27 lakh voters in Dhubri, and the voting percentage here was 92.1%, which was the highest in the country till the third phase. Rakibul Hussain got 60 percent votes. More than 14,71,000 votes, and Badruddin Ajmal got 4.5 lakh votes, this was the difference on this seat. The BJP-AJP alliance has got the third position.
AIUDF’s Performance in Assam
Badruddin Ajmal’s All India United Democratic Front (AIUDF) is the third largest party in Assam. This time it contested three seats and lost all three. Ajmal had been winning this Dhubri seat continuously since 2009.
The Campaigning Efforts of Rakibul Hussain
Reaching Out to Voters
It must not have been easy to reach out to 27 lakh voters. Some time back you saw Rakibul Hussain campaigning from a boat, here he is campaigning from a bike. Although this time Congress got three seats in Assam, the same as last time, after delimitation, retaining them was considered a challenge for Congress.
Significant Victories in Assam
Gaurav Gogoi’s victory from Jorhat is considered special because due to delimitation he lost his traditional seat Kaliabor and this time he was contesting from a new seat against BJP’s sitting MP Tapan Gogoi. Assam Chief Minister Himanta Vishwa Sharma also ran a very aggressive campaign against him.
Legal Challenges and Constituency Background
A petition has been filed in the Supreme Court against delimitation. The Dhubri from where Rakibul Hussain was contesting the election is not his home constituency, not his home. He has been an MLA from Samaguri, 300 km away from here. Rakibul Hussain started contesting the assembly elections in 2001 and won in the first attempt itself. He has never lost since then. He has been an MLA five times, and is currently the Deputy Leader of the Congress in the Assam Assembly.
Rakibul Hussain’s Political Journey
Rakibul Hussain’s Early Political Career
In 2016, when the BJP wave was going on, he won. Rakibul started his political career with NSUI when he became the district president of Nagaon. Later he also became the president of Assam. In 2001, Tarun Gogoi gave him an assembly ticket from NSUI and Rakibul won.
Rakibul Hussain Defeating Prominent Opponents
Once he even defeated Prafulla Mohanta, who was the candidate for the post of Chief Minister. Rakibul’s father has also been an MLA. He was made a minister for the first time in the Congress government along with Hemanta Biswa Sharma, who was a minister in the Tarun Gogoi government from 2002 to 2016. Hemanta Biswa Sharma has lost the election once but Rakibul never lost.
Comparison with Other Leaders
Hemanta Vishwa Sharma had even claimed that Gaurav Gogoi would not win the election but Gaurav won. Rakibul got more than 10 lakh votes. Is any new leader emerging in Assam politics? Many times it seems like a mystery that what does a leader do in politics that he does not even appear in the media but his roots are deep among the people.
Changing Political Landscape
The Role of Media in Politics
In the Modi era, a formula was made that politics cannot be done without TV but after stepping down from the post of Chief Minister, Shivraj Singh Chauhan also distanced himself from the media, spent so much of himself abroad that he won by 821,000 votes. There is talk about Amit Shah, he won by 744,000 votes but CR Patil won by even more votes than him and the guru of all these, Narendra Modi, won by only 1.5 lakh votes.
Comparing Electoral Victories
Jyotiraditya Scindia won from Guna by 540,000 votes but Rakibul Hussain’s victory is bigger than all these. He comes from a remote area of Assam so the media hardly reached him. Priyanka Gandhi had said that if Rakibul is made to win with a huge majority, she will come back to Dhubri.
Congress’ Success in the North East
This time, the number of Congress seats in the north-eastern states has increased from four to six. The most special among these is that Congress has won both the seats in Manipur state, which has been battling ethnic violence for more than a year. Here the Congress candidate had the support of a coalition of 10 parties. Congress also won the Meitei dominated seat in Inner Manipur and also won the tribal reserved seat in Outer Manipur.
Rahul Gandhi’s Campaign Efforts
Rahul Gandhi’s Visit to Manipur
Congress candidate Vimol Akoijam has been a professor at Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi. Congress leader Rahul Gandhi had visited Manipur along with leaders of other opposition parties. He met the victims of violence there and he also shared that experience in his speech in Parliament.
Bharat Jodo Nyay Yatra
In January 2024, Rahul Gandhi started his Bharat Jodo Nyay Yatra from this violence-hit land of Manipur. Prime Minister Narendra Modi did not visit Manipur even once. In comparison to the 2019 elections, this time the election results have reduced the seats of BJP in entire North East India. BJP and its allies had won 19 out of 25 seats in 2019, whereas this time their seats have come down to 15.